Prototype: Covid infection probability rates in Ontario

The prototype displays the number of Coronavirus infected visitors probability rates in Ontario

There are so many unanswered questions in people’s minds as regards the lifting of the lock on the Canada-U.S border to non-essential travel with the seemingly unending inrush of new cases of the new Coronavirus the United States has to manage.  An epidemiologist at the University of Toronto, by the name, Ashleigh Tuite, explained in some of his tweets on the number of Coronavirus infected travelers that could come get to the Canada-U.S border in Ontario dictated by the infection rates in the U.S.

The prototype displays the number of Coronavirus infected visitors probability rates in Ontario

Sources: Pexels.com

The prototype gives an in-depth look into the level of drop needed in the coronavirus case count in the U.S. for safe reopening the border. Tuite went further to explain, that for now, the passage count along the Canada-U.S. border into Ontario is low, most likely lower than 1,000 to 5,000 daily.  The U.S. Centers for Disease Control on Saturday reported 74,818 new cases of COVID-19.  According to Tuite, peradventure, Ontario allows one thousand travelers daily at the U.S. border, at least two of the travelers will be Coronavirus positive.

“And just in case the number is increased to 10,000 travelers daily, on average, Canada should expect 17 coronavirus positive cases.  She went on to say that a third of the positive cases will be symptomatic; those are the ones that will be identified through the screening protocols at the border, however, the remaining two-thirds would either be asymptomatic or be in its maturation stage and for such cases, the only approach is quarantine.

The prototype displays the number of Coronavirus infected visitors probability rates in Ontario

Source: Pexels.com

At present, any individual coming into Canada must adhere to the compulsory 14-day quarantine period; and those who come into the country and cannot prove that they have a concrete and workable isolation plan will be taken to a facility to observe the 14 day quarantine period by officials from the Public Health Agency of Canada. Tuite went on to say that complete obedience to lay down rules and regulations, the task will be much easier. She emphasized that the real problem is non-adherence with quarantine rules as any of the unchecked or unknown cases could cause a wildfire of an upsurge.  She further mentioned that immediately there is a downturn in the number of cases in the U.S. and it falls within the range of 1,000 to 10,000 infections daily, at that point, Canada can rethink an ease on border restrictions limitations.


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